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By some sort of coincidence, if we define
,
then we can rewrite p as
|
(8) |
Seemingly q here acts as some sort of `probability' (even though q has no relationship with the transition probability m!), so that if we average the potential payout of the derivative according to this `probability', we will get the (time discounted) price of the derivative! (At least in this format, the price p of the derivative reduces to the formula in section ).
Birger Bergersen
1998-12-22